BALIKPAPAN: The twisting road that leads to Indonesia’s future capital is lined with dense rainforest and pockets of plantations, punctuated every so often with monkeys enjoying a laze out on the tarmac.

Located in eastern Borneo — the world’s third-largest island — Nusantara is set to replace sinking and polluted Jakarta as Indonesia’s political center by late 2024.

But the two-hour drive from Balikpapan city to the sweeping green expanse of Nusantara’s “Point Zero” reveals the scale of the new capital’s potential impact on a biodiverse area that is home to thousands of animal and plant species.

With construction set to ramp up this year, environmentalists warn building a metropolis will speed up deforestation in one of the world’s largest and oldest stretches of tropical rainforest, estimated to be more than 100 million years old.

“It’s going to be a massive ecological disaster,” Uli Arta Siagian, forest campaigner for environmental group Walhi, told AFP.

The island that Indonesians call the “lungs of the world” — shared with Malaysia and Brunei — is home to long-nosed monkeys, clouded leopards, pig-tailed macaques, flying fox-bats and the smallest rhinos on the planet.

But by 2045, the Indonesian government says Nusantara will host 1.9 million residents, more than twice Balikpapan’s population, importing a wave of human and industrial activity into the heart of Borneo.

The relocation to the 2,560-square-kilometer area follows capital moves by Brazil to Brasilia — considered an urban utopia failure — and Myanmar to the ghost town of Naypyidaw.

Drastic changes to the land’s topography and the man-made disasters that could follow “will be severe and far more difficult to mitigate compared to natural disasters,” said Siagian.

Indonesia also has one of the world’s highest rates of deforestation linked to mining, farming and logging, and is accused of allowing firms to operate in Borneo with little oversight.

The government, however, says it wants to spread economic development — long centered on densely populated Java — around the vast archipelago nation, and to move away from Jakarta before the city sinks due to excessive groundwater extraction.

‘Working with nature’

Indonesian President Joko Widodo has pitched a Utopian vision of a “green” city four times the size of Jakarta where residents would commute on electric buses.

His city authority chief, Bambang Susantono, presented the initial plan to journalists in mid-December, pledging carbon neutrality by 2045 in what he dubbed the world’s first-ever sustainable forest city.

Architect Sofian Sibarani is in charge of creating a master plan for the new city, outlining everything from road maps to a transit system. He insisted that his plan envisaged “minimum changes to the environment.”

Sibarani spoke of a metropolis that appears out of the jungle, rather than replaces it.

“We are trying to create (a city that is) working with nature instead of working against it,” he said.

Initial projects include a parliament, workers’ homes, a dam, a grand mosque and a presidential palace shaped as the towering mythical bird Garuda.

Experts, including Sibarani, however have warned authorities against breakneck building.

“My concern is if you rush this, we may compromise,” he said.

‘Erased our traces’

Nusantara could also displace generations-old Indigenous communities.

Sibukdin, a local Indigenous Balik tribe leader who goes by one name, sat in a wooden house on land marked for the city as he expressed fears the development will drive away his people.

Like other Indigenous groups in Borneo, thousands of Balik tribe members rely on the forest to meet their daily needs.

More than 90 percent of the forest the tribe uses for hunting and foraging has already been lost to commercial activity since the 1970s, Sibukdin said.

A nearby tribal cemetery was demolished because of the dam project, leaving him “heartbroken.”

“It erased our traces,” he said.

While officials have vowed to respect Indigenous rights and compensate those affected by Nusantara, provincial officials said they would verify all land claims and only accept ownership proof.

Sibukdin said not all Balik tribe areas had been formally recognized.

“When the new capital comes, where else can we go?” he asked.

Threat to animals

While Susantono said the first stage would be finished by next year, the city will not be completed for decades.

The project will cost 466 trillion rupiah ($30 billion), with taxpayer money expected to cover about 20 percent, according to a government estimate.

Jakarta has been wooing potential investors, including Saudi Arabia and China, with hefty tax breaks to cover the cost.

It has secured the backing of three property developers to fund housing worth 41 trillion rupiah ($2.6 billion), Nusantara authority secretary Achmad Adiwijaya told AFP.

But funding has proven elusive, with few commitments announced. Japanese tech conglomerate SoftBank pulled its backing for the project in March without elaborating.

That left Indonesia with an uphill battle to swiftly relocate and find the money to open Nusantara’s doors by the time Widodo leaves office, raising fears Jakarta could cut corners.

Eka Permanasari, urban design professor at Monash University Indonesia, warned that there was still a lot of “homework that needs to be done.”

Life is already changing for the worse for some of the area’s animal inhabitants.

At an orangutan sanctuary home to around 120 apes on land marked for Nusantara’s future expansion, illegal encroachments have intensified since the capital’s location was announced.

“Mines, land speculators, they encroach on our place,” said Borneo Orangutan Survival Foundation (BOSF) chief executive Jamartin Sihite.

Around 40 percent of the BOSF-run sanctuary’s 1,800-hectare reforested area has been damaged in recent years, including by an illicit mine built there, Sihite said.

The rise in activity threatens all sorts of animals and vegetation in this ancient forest.

Agus Bei, who runs a mangrove reserve, warned cutting down these green stretches for profit would leave an indelible mark.

“The next generation will only be able to hear about their stories,” he said, standing in the shade of the mangrove trees he protects.